Quantum communication market forecast to exceed US$1.2 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 28%.
Quantum Communication Market 2024-2034: Technology, Trends, Players, Forecasts
Quantum random number generators, quantum key distribution, terrestrial optical networks and space-based satellite quantum networks for the next generation of cryptographic security
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Quantum communications technology upgrades are essential to protect our high value data
This report comprehensively overviews the quantum communication market. This includes an overview of key quantum communication technology, and the emerging quantum computing threat to data security. This report overviews solutions offered by quantum random number generators (QRNG) and quantum key distribution (QKD). There is coverage of global trends in the quantum communication hardware market, including comparison with software based post-quantum cryptography (PQC). This comprehensive study includes over 25 company profiles, and market forecasts for 2024-2034. The quantum communications market is predicted to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 28%.
Quantum communications technology seeks to improve data security, which is increasingly compromised in the modern world. The world is generating higher and higher volumes of data, with increasing concerns about its sensitivity. Meanwhile, bad actors are committing more advanced cybercrimes - keen to exploit the value of virtually shared trade secrets, financial data, health records and more. Moreover, the scaling up of quantum computing threatens to undermine existing cryptography methods entirely - leaving a gap in the market for new 'quantum-ready' technology solutions able to meet the next generation of encryption needs. This quantum communication market report simplifies this complex technology into accessible to read terms and separates the hype from the reality as to its disruptive potential.
The first wave of technology to disrupt the communications market is post quantum cryptography. This mathematical approach to increasing security will require mass software system upgrades, but not necessarily dedicated hardware. Pressure is growing to raise awareness to all businesses about the need for crypto-agility, and the market for dedicated quantum ready platforms for network managers is already growing.
However, mathematical approaches are constantly under pressure to evolve against new threats - and a software only solution is already insufficient for the most highly sensitive data transfers. Hardware solutions such as quantum key distribution (QKD) are thought to be amongst the few which can probably remain robust to any eavesdropping. This specialized optical technology has been developed for installation within optical fiber networks, leveraging the phenomena of entanglement and no-cloning in a revolutionary new approach to telecommunications. This report contextualizes QKD within the larger cryptography industry shifts, and identifies the key technology approaches and leading companies within the quantum communication market. This includes a specific focus on QKD integration into quantum networks - with global case-studies and updates from China, Europe, the US, UK and Japan.
A key component of QKD is a better random number generator for more secure key generation. Yet these quantum random number generations (QRNGs), have applications beyond just state of the art quantum networks. QRNGs have already been incorporated into some smart-phones, and have been adopted by the gambling and gaming industry. This report analyses the competitive landscape of the QRNG market and appraises the future outlook for this technology at both the PCIe and chip-scale.
Key Aspects of the Quantum Communication Market Report
This report provides critical market intelligence about quantum communication market This includes:
A review of the context and motivation for quantum communications technology
- Overview of the threat to existing data security methods and cryptography vulnerabilities
- Breakdown of the threat to data security posed by quantum computers.
- General overview of post quantum cryptography (PQC)
- Overall look at hardware sectors within the quantum communication market including quantum random number generators (QRNG) and quantum key distribution (QKD)
- Update on the progress of quantum network implementation on in key geographies, including case studies from China, Europe, US, UK and Japan with key commercial partners identified.
Full market characterization for Quantum Random Number Generators and Quantum Key Distribution within the quantum communication market
- Details of the principle of operation of both QRNG and QKD and associated supply chain considerations regarding light-sources and single photon detectors.
- Review of the QRNG landscape, including comparison with incumbent pseudo random number generators (PRNG) and classical true random number generators (TRNG).
- Comparison of hardware approaches and key performance metrics achieved by players developing optical QRNG, including established players and start-ups. Overview of differentials and challenges offered by non-optical approaches including tunnelling and beta-decay.
- The growth of QRNG adoption for higher quality entropy sources, and applications in cryptography as well as gambling, gaming and Monte Carlo simulations.
- Review of the QKD landscape and comparison with algorithmic approaches as well as PQC and DHE.
- Update and outlook on the commercial market for quantum networks both terrestrial and space-based.
Market analysis throughout
- Reviews of quantum communications market players throughout, including those in PQC, QRNG and QKD as well as quantum computing, with company profiles from over 25 companies.
- Market forecasts from 2024-2034 covering QRNG and QKD, focusing on the commercial outlook.
| Report Metrics | Details |
|---|---|
| CAGR | The global market for quantum communications hardware is forecast to reach US$1.2 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 28%. |
| Forecast Period | 2024 - 2034 |
| Forecast Units | Annual Revenue (USD) |
| Segments Covered | Quantum Random Number Generators (QRNG), Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) |
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| 1. | EXECUTIVE SUMMARY |
| 1.1. | The quantum communication market 'at a glance' |
| 1.2. | The quantum threat to data security |
| 1.3. | The quantum solution to data security |
| 1.4. | 'Hack Now Decrypt Later' (HNDL) and preparing for Q-Day/ Y2Q |
| 1.5. | What is the main value proposition of QRNG compared to incumbents? |
| 1.6. | Key players developing QRNG products segmented by hardware approach |
| 1.7. | Applications of quantum random number generators (QRNG) |
| 1.8. | The basic principle of QKD uses 'observation' effects to identify eavesdroppers |
| 1.9. | Overview of key players developing QKD technology (1) |
| 1.10. | Overview of key players developing QKD technology (2) |
| 1.11. | What is a quantum network? |
| 1.12. | China - the first to realize large scale quantum networks |
| 1.13. | China - focus now on quantum memories and metropolitan networks |
| 1.14. | Europe - a coordinated effort to build up quantum networking capacity within and between across all 27 member states |
| 1.15. | US - NSA and NIST focused on PQC solutions to network security |
| 1.16. | Trusted nodes incorporating quantum computers have significant infrastructure needs |
| 1.17. | Pain points for incumbent platform solutions |
| 1.18. | National focus on eco-system building could delay market growth globally |
| 1.19. | Shortage of quantum talent is a challenge for the industry |
| 2. | INTRODUCTION |
| 2.1. | Introduction to quantum communications |
| 2.2. | The quantum sensor market 'at a glance' |
| 2.3. | Why now for quantum technologies? |
| 2.4. | Despite the hype around quantum computing, quantum communications remains as important a national priority |
| 2.5. | Is the quantum computing threat realistic? (1) |
| 2.6. | Is the quantum computing threat realistic? (2) |
| 2.7. | 'Hack Now Decrypt Later' (HNDL) and preparing for Q-Day/ Y2Q |
| 3. | INTRODUCTION POST QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY (PQC) |
| 3.1. | Introduction to Post Quantum Cryptography (PQC) |
| 3.2. | Cybercrime incidents are rising in frequency and cost - driving engagement with PQC solutions |
| 3.3. | Cryptographic transitions are slow, and engagement with PQC is encouraged now |
| 3.4. | Types of cryptography |
| 3.5. | NIST taking a lead rule in PQC standardization |
| 3.6. | The market for crypto-agility and encryption management tools is growing |
| 3.7. | Is there a case for backdoors into encryption? |
| 3.8. | SWOT Analysis of PQC |
| 4. | QUANTUM RANDOM NUMBER GENERATORS (QRNG) |
| 4.1. | Overview |
| 4.1.1. | QRNG: chapter overview |
| 4.2. | Introduction to incumbent RNG technology |
| 4.2.1. | Introduction to entropy-sources and true-randomness |
| 4.2.2. | Distinguishing statistical randomness tests from true randomness |
| 4.2.3. | Overview of the established market for classical hardware random number generators, or true random number generators (TRNGs) |
| 4.2.4. | Hardware RNG in today's electronics is largely within a 'trusted platform module' TPM |
| 4.2.5. | What is the main value proposition of QRNG compared to incumbents? |
| 4.3. | Overview of QRNG technology and key players |
| 4.3.1. | Key players developing QRNG products segmented by hardware approach |
| 4.3.2. | Principle of operation of optical QRNG technology |
| 4.3.3. | What are the main form-factor approaches to creating optical QRNG? |
| 4.3.4. | Overview of technology differentiators for optical QRNG (segmented by company) |
| 4.3.5. | Why is there potentially a gap in the market for non-optical approaches to QRNG technology? |
| 4.3.6. | SWOT analysis of quantum random number generator technology |
| 4.4. | Key applications, market opportunities and challenges for QRNG |
| 4.4.1. | How are NIST standards impacting the QRNG market? |
| 4.4.2. | QRNG Application Case Studies: Encryption for Data Centers (1) |
| 4.4.3. | QRNG Application Case Studies: Encryption for Data Centers (2) |
| 4.4.4. | QRNG Application Case Studies: Consumer Electronics (Smart Phones) |
| 4.4.5. | QRNG Application Case Studies: Automotive/Connected Vehicle |
| 4.4.6. | The Connected Vehicle Supply Chain |
| 4.4.7. | QRNG Application Case Studies: Gambling and Gaming |
| 4.4.8. | QRNG Applications Case Study: Monte Carlo Simulations |
| 4.4.9. | Entropy vs. SWAP-C in the RNG/QRNG hardware market |
| 4.4.10. | Quantum random number generators: conclusions and outlook |
| 5. | QUANTUM KEY DISTRIBUTION (QKD) |
| 5.1. | Overview |
| 5.1.1. | QKD: chapter overview |
| 5.2. | Introduction to cryptographic keys and the security threat from quantum computing |
| 5.2.1. | Introduction to the role of keys and ciphers in data security |
| 5.2.2. | What is the difference between asymmetric and symmetric keys? |
| 5.2.3. | Overview of RSA encryption steps |
| 5.2.4. | How is quantum already impacting the future of encryption? |
| 5.2.5. | How could quantum computers accelerate large number factorization - and put RSA at risk? (1) |
| 5.2.6. | How could quantum computers accelerate large number factorization - and put RSA at risk? (2) |
| 5.2.7. | 'Hack Now Decrypt Later' (HNDL) and preparing for Q-Day/ Y2Q |
| 5.3. | Overview of QKD technology and key players |
| 5.3.1. | The basic principle of QKD uses 'observation' effects to identify eavesdroppers |
| 5.3.2. | An introduction to measuring single-qubit states |
| 5.3.3. | How can polarization and qubit states be used to securely distribute keys and the BB84 Protocol (1) |
| 5.3.4. | How can polarization and qubit states be used to securely distribute keys and the BB84 Protocol (2) |
| 5.3.5. | Why is QKD more secure than other key exchange mechanisms? |
| 5.3.6. | Discrete Variable vs. Continuous Variable QKD Protocols |
| 5.3.7. | Overview of key players developing QKD technology (1) |
| 5.3.8. | Overview of key players developing QKD technology (2) |
| 5.3.9. | QKD hardware is competing with a well established, cost-effective method software approach to key exchange |
| 5.3.10. | Chip-Scale QKD efforts will benefit from the growth of the PIC industry (1) |
| 5.3.11. | Chip-Scale QKD efforts will benefit from the growth of the PIC industry (2) |
| 5.3.12. | SWOT analysis of quantum key distribution technology |
| 5.3.13. | Quantum key distribution: conclusions and outlook |
| 6. | QUANTUM NETWORKS |
| 6.1. | Overview |
| 6.1.1. | Quantum Networks: chapter overview |
| 6.2. | Introduction to quantum networks and components |
| 6.2.1. | What is a quantum network? |
| 6.2.2. | The role of trusted nodes and trusted relays |
| 6.2.3. | Entanglement swapping and optical switches |
| 6.2.4. | Moving away from dark-fiber, and multiplexing with the O-Band |
| 6.2.5. | Twin-Field QKD |
| 6.2.6. | Space based quantum networks |
| 6.2.7. | An opportunity for better optical fiber and interconnects |
| 6.2.8. | Avalanche Photo Detectors (APD) |
| 6.2.9. | Single-photon avalanche diodes |
| 6.2.10. | Silicon photomultiplier |
| 6.2.11. | Comparison of common photodetectors |
| 6.2.12. | Major single photo-detector players focusing on LIDAR may seek to expand into quantum communications |
| 6.3. | Key players and case studies |
| 6.3.1. | China - the first to realize large scale quantum networks |
| 6.3.2. | China - focus now on quantum memories and metropolitan networks |
| 6.3.3. | Europe - a coordinated effort to build up quantum networking capacity within and between across all 27 member states |
| 6.3.4. | Netherlands - a unified approach to developing quantum networks for research, government and commercial use-cases |
| 6.3.5. | UK - the Quantum Communications Hub, Toshiba and BT are collaborating to scale up both research and commercially focused quantum network infrastructure |
| 6.3.6. | US - NSA and NIST focused on PQC solutions to network security |
| 6.3.7. | US - research and start-up activity into quantum networking continues |
| 6.3.8. | Japan - demand for innovative optical and wireless networks driving interest in quantum networking solutions |
| 6.4. | Infrastructure for quantum computer nodes |
| 6.4.1. | Trusted nodes incorporating quantum computers have significant infrastructure needs |
| 6.4.2. | Introduction to cryostats for quantum computing |
| 6.4.3. | Understanding cryostat architectures |
| 6.4.4. | Bluefors are the market leaders in cryostat supply for superconducting quantum platforms |
| 6.4.5. | Bluefors are the market leaders in cryostat supply for superconducting quantum computers (discussion) |
| 6.4.6. | Opportunities in the Asian supply chain for cryostats |
| 6.4.7. | Cryostats need two forms of helium, with different supply chain considerations |
| 6.4.8. | Helium isotope (He3) considerations |
| 6.4.9. | Summary of cabling and electronics requirements inside a dilution refrigerator for quantum computing |
| 6.4.10. | Qubit readout methods: microwaves and microscopes |
| 6.4.11. | Pain points for incumbent platform solutions |
| 6.5. | Quantum networks: SWOT analysis and conclusions |
| 6.5.1. | SWOT analysis of quantum networks |
| 6.5.2. | Quantum networks: conclusions and outlook |
| 7. | MARKET FORECASTS |
| 7.1. | Forecasting Methodology Overview |
| 7.2. | Quantum communication market forecast - annual revenue (USD$, Million) |
| 7.3. | Discussion: Quantum communication market forecast - annual revenue (USD$, Million) |
| 7.4. | Predicting the tipping point for quantum computing - and an estimate for Q-Day threat timeline (1) |
| 7.5. | Predicting the tipping point for quantum computing - and an estimate for Q-Day threat timeline (2) |
| 7.6. | Optimistic scenario for smart-phone QRNG |
| 8. | COMPANY PROFILES |
| 8.1. | Aegiq |
| 8.2. | Alea Quantum |
| 8.3. | AQuRand |
| 8.4. | Crypta Labs |
| 8.5. | Diraq |
| 8.6. | DocuSign |
| 8.7. | Fraunhofer FEP |
| 8.8. | IBM (Quantum Computers) |
| 8.9. | Infineon (Quantum Algorithms) |
| 8.10. | Menlo Systems Inc |
| 8.11. | ORCA Computing |
| 8.12. | Oxford Ionics |
| 8.13. | PacketLight Networks |
| 8.14. | Powerlase Ltd |
| 8.15. | Quantinuum |
| 8.16. | QuantrolOx |
| 8.17. | Quantum Computing Inc |
| 8.18. | Quantum Dice |
| 8.19. | Quantum Motion |
| 8.20. | Quantum Technologies |
| 8.21. | Quantum XChange |
| 8.22. | QuSecure |
| 8.23. | Quside |
| 8.24. | Randaemon |
| 8.25. | River Lane |
| 8.26. | SEEQC |
| 8.27. | Senko Advance Components Ltd |
| 8.28. | sureCore Ltd |
| 8.29. | Toshiba (Quantum Technology Center) |
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Report Statistics
| Slides | 143 |
|---|---|
| Forecasts to | 2034 |
| Published | Jan 2024 |
| ISBN | 9781835700129 |
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